James had four main weaknesses as a young player: defense, free throw shooting, midrange shooting and three point shooting. This season, James is playing tremendous defense; he has improved at that end of the court each year and now he is legitimately an All-Defensive Team caliber performer. James is shooting a career-high .788 from the free throw line; although that number would be a career-low for Bryant, at least James has improved his free throw shooting to the extent that it is no longer a weakness.

So, James has clearly eliminated two of his four weaknesses. However, he has not made real progress in the other areas, contrary to popular belief. James is shooting just .299 from three point range, so this is the fourth straight season that his percentage has declined. Despite that, James has averaged at least four three point attempts per game in each of those seasons, including 4.3 three point attempts per game this season. As for James’ midrange shot, NBA.com has a page called “Hot Spots” which provides shooting percentages and color coded hot/cold zone indicators for every NBA player from various areas on the court. James is red hot in the paint, shooting .724 (218-301) and he is also hot from just outside the top of the key on the left side of the court (.541, 20-37)–but everywhere else he is either lukewarm (four zones) or ice cold (seven zones); overall, he is shooting .343 (132-385) outside of the paint. In contrast, Bryant has five red hot zones (the paint, the midpost area around the free throw line, two midrange areas on the right wing and left wing three pointers) and only three ice cold zones. Bryant is not quite the finisher in the paint that James is but Bryant is not only hot in that area (.595, 138-232) but he is shooting 210-491 (.428) outside of the paint, which means that defenders have to account for him all over the court, which creates opportunities for the Lakers’ bigs to score in the paint and for their perimeter players to get wide open three point shots.

This significant difference between Bryant and James is the reason that Bryant’s shooting percentages and turnover rates in playoff matchups last year versus San Antonio and Boston were markedly better than James’ numbers in those categories in his playoff matchups versus those teams in the 2007 Finals and 2008 Eastern Conference semifinals respectively. As I mentioned in my Slam Online scouting report of Bryant versus James, “James averaged 22.0 ppg, shot .356 from the field (including .200 from three point range) and committed 5.8 turnovers per game as the Spurs swept his Cavs in the 2007 NBA Finals; he averaged 26.7 ppg, shot .355 from the field (including .231 from three point range) and committed 5.3 turnovers per game in the 2008 Eastern Conference Finals versus the Celtics. In contrast, Bryant averaged 29.2 ppg, shot .533 from the field (including .333 from three point range) and committed just 2.4 turnovers per game as the Lakers beat the Spurs in five games in the 2008 Western Conference Finals; he averaged 25.7 ppg, shot .405 from the field (including .321 from three point range) and committed 3.8 turnovers per game versus the Celtics in the 2008 NBA Finals.”

I have tremendous respect for James as a player; when Skip Bayless was calling him “LeBrick” and others were stupidly questioning why James passed to a wide open Donyell Marshall at the end of a playoff game, I was writing a piece for NBCSports.com titled The Accelerated Growth Curve of LeBron James, declaring, “There have been younger players who led teams to the Finals and there have been players who led their teams to the Finals prior to their fourth season–but no one who is this young and who has only played four seasons has taken a team to the Finals without playing alongside at least one future Hall of Famer. James is used to doing things better–and at a younger age–than anyone else.”

I have as much appreciation for what James has already accomplished and how great he is as anyone else does–but it would not be correct to say that he has made up any ground in a crucial area in which Bryant enjoys superiority over him, an area that enables Bryant to be more consistently effective against elite defensive teams (the difference in turnover rates in those San Antonio and Boston games is largely because defenders sag off of James and play the passing lanes, daring him to shoot from midrange/long distance).

Yes, James played at a remarkably high level in Cleveland’s recent win versus Boston and in Cleveland’s game seven loss to the Celtics last year–but in that series he also set numerous records for low field goal percentages and the Cavs could very well have been swept if not for the tremendous team defense they played in games three and four to extend the series. There seems to be a revisionist tendency now to act as if James played much better versus Boston than Bryant did, when the reality is that James played a brilliant seventh game–which his team still lost–but even including the numbers from his seventh game he still shot worse overall versus Boston and turned the ball over more frequently than Bryant did in the Finals. The ultimate length of each of those playoff series was determined more by the difference between Cleveland and L.A. as rebounding/defensive units than what Bryant or James did in those series.

While James is being rightly lauded for his improved defense and free throw shooting–but wrongly praised for a midrange and three point game that has not improved–Bryant has been portrayed as an older player who has lost some athleticism and is not quite as good as he used to be. Athleticism can be tricky to define–in December 2007 I made the case that Steve Nash may be the best athlete in the NBA–but James is clearly bigger and stronger than Bryant and likely runs faster and jumps higher as well. However, Bryant is still very close to the top of the charts in terms of speed and jumping ability, as he has shown several times this season with various dunks, blocked shots and other plays requiring those traits. Whatever Bryant may have lost in those departments in recent years has not as of yet had an obvious impact on how he plays.

I think that some people were fooled by how Bryant played in the early part of the season, when he was scoring around 25 ppg in fewer than 34 mpg, deliberately taking fewer shots to give other players the opportunity to step up. Bryant was also struggling a bit from three point range at that time–but after the Lakers blew some leads down the stretch with Bryant resting on the bench, Coach Phil Jackson has increased Bryant’s minutes (he averaged 37.2 mpg in December and 39.0 mpg in the first seven games in January) and Bryant has put up some eyepopping numbers.

In the previous post, I mentioned that in the first seven games in January, Bryant averaged 30.6 ppg, 6.1 apg and 4.9 rpg while shooting .500 from the field, .483 from three point range and .847 from the free throw line. Going back a bit further, since December 1, Bryant has averaged 29.0 ppg, 4.8 apg and 5.5 rpg while shooting .484 from the field, .402 from three point range and .871 from the free throw line. Now that Bryant has regained his three point shooting touch while continuing to remain deadly in the paint and from midrange, he is essentially unguardable–he will make some shots and miss some shots but the defense cannot really dictate to him because there are no weak areas of the court to steer him toward. Bryant scored 13 fourth quarter points for the Lakers in their 105-100 win at Houston on Tuesday, including 11 of their 15 points in a 5:50 run when they went from down 89-87 to up 102-100 after a Bryant three pointer that proved to be the game-winning shot. Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum finished the game with 11 points each and combined to grab eight rebounds, one more than Bryant’s team-high tying total (Bryant led the Lakers with 33 points and also had a team-high tying four assists). Although the Lakers have a lot of depth, some of that depth has been eliminated due to injuries and even before those injuries struck it has often been up to Bryant to close out games, including games in which the Lakers once enjoyed comfortable leads before he went to the bench for a brief rest; Jackson eventually had to switch his rotation up and leave Bryant in games at the start of the fourth quarter to stabilize things, a marked contrast to the situation with Cleveland, where James has frequently sat out substantial portions of fourth quarters as the Cavs rode their suffocating defense and rebounding dominance to victories.

I think that Kobe Bryant and LeBron James are head and shoulders above everyone else in the NBA right now (I need to see Dwyane Wade healthy and playing at this level for a full season before I’ll put his name back in the discussion). James is obviously an MVP level player and has been one for quite some time–but there is an old boxing saying that to beat the champ you have to knock him out. Last year, Bryant finally earned overdue recognition as the MVP and the league’s best all-around player and he is playing as well or better this season for the team that has the best record in the NBA. James is right behind Bryant, just like his Cavs are right behind the Lakers, but it is premature to say that James has surpassed Bryant and it is certainly premature to say–as some have suggested–that the MVP discussion is closed. More than half the season remains to be played, so both players will have plenty of opportunities to make their case for winning the 2009 MVP.

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As you may have heard already, Vitale, and his partner Dan Shulman, will be covering the Heat-Nuggets game on January 7th while regular NBA announcers Mike Tirico, Jeff Van Gundy and Mark Jackson will be covering the Davidson-Duke game on the same night.

When I told the reigning MVP about this, and asked him if he would enjoy having Vitale announce one of his games, his eyes perked up. “I would love it,” Kobe told me.

“Would it even make a difference?” I said.

A big smile started to spread across his face before he could answer the question. “Well yeah,” Kobe said. “It’d be awesome, BABY!”

I still think that having Dickie V call an NBA is a terrible idea, but if the players would enjoy it, what else can you say? The guy does draw attention wherever he goes, and even though it seems like an obvious gimmick, it might actually bring viewers.

FYI- The best take I’ve heard on this yet come from KSK’s Unsilent Majority….

“WHO’S THIS JR SMITH GUY? I DONT’ REMEMBER HIM FROM COLLEGE! MAYBE IF HE WENT TO COLLEGE HE WOULDN’T HAVE ALL THOSE TATTOOS AND MAYBE HE WOULDN’T PLAY WITH A SCOWL!”

It’s funny cause it’s (going to be) true.

Lakers notes: Just a couple quick thoughts out of last night:

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One of their owners thinks so too. Magic Johnson, who owns slightly less than 5% of the Lakers, said the onus was on the Lakers to show they could out-defend the defense-minded Boston Celtics in the much-hyped Christmas Day game at Staples
Center.

“The Lakers have to prove to the Celtics and to themselves that they can handle the physical play of the Celtics,” Johnson said, before referring to Game 6 of last season’s NBA Finals. “That last beating that they took by 39 points, that should have left a sour taste in the Lakers’ mouth. . .. To me, that was an embarrassment.

“Those guys have got to come out and really prove something to themselves and show the league that they are really
ready to challenge the Celtics. Right now, the Celtics believe that the Lakers can’t beat them. It’s all about the Lakers on Christmas Day.” The Lakers started out among the league leaders in multiple defensive categories, though they have struggled in recent weeks to hold teams under 100 points.

They held the Miami Heat under 100 on Friday night but still lost, 89-87.

The Celtics, meanwhile, are second in the league in fewest points given up (90.3 a game) and lead the league in opponents’ shooting percentage (41.3%).

“The Celtics are playing better on both ends of the court,” said Johnson, who also works as an ESPN analyst. “You can just tell that they really want to repeat. The Lakers have been struggling big time on the defensive end, so they’ve got a lot of work to do to come up to where the Celtics are.

“If you break down the Celtics, they only really have one star defensive player in Kevin Garnett, but they play the best team
defense that we’ve probably seen in a long time. Defense has always been in style and it will always be in style if you make a commitment to it if you really want to win the championship.”

As for playing on Dec. 25, which he did three times with the Lakers?

“I loved it, and it didn’t matter if we were on the road or not,” Johnson said. “Just give me the basketball in my hand, and everybody watching me? Oh, man.

“I think, this Christmas Day, you are going to see both teams want each other. Just like back in the day, we wished we
played more than two times during the regular season and these guys wish they played more than two games too. Click here to read the entire article!

Enjoy!

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Patrick: “O.K., if you’re going to teach your kids how to play in the pivot, do you have them look at your footwork or Tim Duncan’s?”

O’Neal: “No, I have them look at all the guards. I let them watch Kobe and T-Mac.”

Patrick: “What is the part of Kobe’s game that you say to your kids, ‘Just watch what he does, nobody does that better’?”

O’Neal: “His ferocity.”

Patrick: “Most intense player in the league?”

O’Neal: “Oh, yes, by far the best player in the league.”

A Chris Mannix article titled “Redd State” talked about how Michael Redd is transforming his body and his game. New Milwaukee Coach Scott Skiles is trying to change the mindset of the Bucks. “People who watched the Bucks the last couple of years know that when the team got behind, [the players] caved in and took a loss,” Skiles said. Teams tend to follow the mindset of their leader, so that is hardly a ringing endorsement of Redd. Indeed, Mannix quoted a scout who said of Redd’s defense, “He’s O.K. off the ball but you can go at him one-on-one.” Skiles is challenging Redd to elevate his defensive game by assigning the sharpshooter to guard the opposing team’s top perimeter player. To his credit, Redd has enthusiastically accepted this new role, reducing his weight and body fat so that he is in better condition to exert himself at both ends of the court. Redd’s trainer said, “Michael was someone who relied on basketball to stay in shape and keep his legs strong.” Of course, anyone who knows anything about sports and personal training realizes that you work out to get in shape to play basketball–you don’t play basketball to get into shape. It is good that Redd has finally understood this. Mannix noted that part of the transformation of Redd’s attitude took place as a result of playing for Team USA and observing up close the work ethic and practice habits of Kobe Bryant. Redd explained, “In our practices everybody wanted to stop everybody. But Kobe, man, he never took a possession off.”

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